An inverted yield curve, in which yields on longer-dated bonds are below those for shorter-dated instruments, has correctly predicted the last nine U.S. recessions in the post-World War II era.

The 2-year/10-year Bund spread closed the week at a positive 0.227%, a change from 0.224% last week. As a result, today’s simulation shows that the maximum probability of a return to negative spreads ...

The inverted Bund yields continued this week with the negative 2-year/10-year yield spread at negative 49.6 basis points compared to 49.2 basis points last week. As a result, today’s simulation shows ...

Leading economic indicators, such as the inverted yield curve, have warned that a recession is imminent. But these gauges are misleading amid strength in credit conditions, Ed Yardeni wrote on Monday.

A reset in some of emerging Asia’s bond yield curves may be imminent as analysts signal an end to the recent surge in borrowing costs.

U.S. Treasury yields, especially the 2-year Treasury yield, are drawing attention again today. While some early reports suggested a sharp rise to 3.948%, most reliable sources including Reuters, ...

The Federal Reserve seems poised to cut interest rates soon, and fear of a recession is one driver why the central bank would want to slash borrowing costs. Steven Goldstein is based in London and ...

The “experts” talk about how the U.S. Treasury Curve is currently “inverted.” What does that mean, and should it matter to lenders? The fact is, the yield curve (a graphical representation of yields, ...