The UST yield curve has been inverted, but there is speculation about when it will “un”invert and move out of negative territory. Short-term and long-term rates do not always move in the same ...

The yield curve inverted in June 2022, and as we all know, the recession never came. When it flipped positive in 2024, ...

The “experts” talk about how the U.S. Treasury Curve is currently “inverted.” What does that mean, and should it matter to lenders? The fact is, the yield curve (a graphical representation of yields, ...

There are a lot of recession predictors people watch: Some track imports, some track wholesale prices, some even track light truck sales and Statue of Liberty visits. But one of the most watched ...

Steepening refers to yield curves, where falling short-term interest rates will incentivize investors to move out of cash holdings and into risk assets, including equities, credit and fixed income ...

In macroeconomics, the yield curve is used to forecast the probability of a recession. When the curve becomes inverted, it means that short-term yields are higher than long-term yields which, up until ...

Much has been made about an impending recession. The reasons, however, are seldom discussed, are even less understood, and do little to inform what actions investors should take (if any). Economists ...

In my 50-plus years of running money, I’ve noticed that the biggest market moves come from factors that have gone unnoticed – and right now, there’s a doozy lurking under the table. Amid all the ...

Learn to create a yield curve in Excel and understand its implications for interest rate forecasting. Follow our simple guide ...

Ever since Trump announced his trade war and Wall Street goliaths like J.P. Morgan and Goldman Sachs said that they did not price Trump’s signature policy into their market expectations, the yield ...

NEW YORK, NEW YORK - JANUARY 09: Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange during afternoon trading on January 09, 2023 in New York City. The stock market closed with mixed results ...