Traders use Polymarket to predict outcomes, but the platform itself doesn't predict future events. It measures how the crowd currently estimates probability based on available information, similar to ...

In a recent study published in JAMA Network Open, a group of researchers evaluated the proficiency of Generative Pre-trained Transformer 4 (GPT-4) artificial intelligence (AI) in probabilistic ...

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) is a field of study that focuses on understanding, modeling, and reducing uncertainties in computational models and real-world systems. It is widely used in engineering ...

Please provide your email address to receive an email when new articles are posted on . In a recent survey study, nearly 80% of physicians overestimated the probability of successful patient outcomes ...

Some economists are predicting that US recession risk is rising, and a downturn could arrive before the year is out, but the supporting data to date is still thin. If the central bank does ease ...