The yield curve is not easily understood, but it is important in giving us a good look at what is happening in the economy. Not surprisingly, Austrian ...

The yield curve disinverted this week, suggesting an economic recession may be near. Historically, yield curve disinversions have preceded every economic recession since 1976. Investors are reacting ...

Yields on shorter-term Treasurys were rising on Monday relative to what rates on longer-term maturities were doing — translating into a bear flattening of the yield curve, which is often negative for ...

Weekly indicators provide a timely nowcast of the economy, signaling changes before monthly or quarterly data is available, and help “mark your beliefs to market.”. Long leading indicators, including ...

There are a lot of recession predictors people watch: Some track imports, some track wholesale prices, some even track light truck sales and Statue of Liberty visits. But one of the most watched ...

The Federal Reserve kicked off its much-anticipated easing campaign this week — its first in four years — which means cheaper rates on most kinds of consumer loans, including auto loans and mortgages.

The latest Freddie Mac Weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey put the 30-year fixed rate at 6.01%, its lowest level since 2022. The yield on the 10-year note finished February 20, 2026, at 4.08%.

The yield curve has long been a closely watched indicator of economic health. When the yield curve inverts, meaning short-term interest rates exceed long-term rates, it is often seen as a harbinger of ...

Eurozone government bond yields rose— tracking Treasurys—showing no reaction to an unconfirmed report that the ECB President Christine could terminate her mandate early.