New analysis explains why Prosper’s macro forecasts often signal economic shifts weeks or months before prediction ...

The probability in weather forecasts leaves many people perplexed on if, or when, they should continue with plans, cancel or delay. As summer ramps up across North America, millions of travelers, ...

Many government contractors still rely on fragmented systems and static spreadsheets to project what’s ahead. That approach may work for tracking awarded contracts, but it fails to support confident ...

Research is casting prediction markets as policy-relevant forecasting tools just as state regulators escalate efforts to ...

SAN FRANCISCO--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Despite increasingly volatile weather and advances in short-term weather prediction, the finance, insurance, and energy sectors still lack the precise, long-term ...

Scientists have created a novel probabilistic model for 5-minutes ahead PV power forecasting. The method combines a convolutional neural network with bidirectional long short-term memory, attention ...

Future events are far from certain in the business world. This is especially true for smaller businesses, which tend to have more volatility than larger organizations, or newer businesses without a ...

Americans have long been familiar with “horse race” polls that accompany elections in the United States. But since 2008, a new polling tool has gained prominence, one that not only suggests which ...