Apps that let people wager on current events have experienced explosive growth in Trump's second term. But one of the leading markets is tied up in lawsuits that cloud the industry's future.

A fox, a hedgehog and an LLM – it sounds like the beginning of a joke, but this is in fact the introduction to a topic that is consuming the attention of Philip Tetlock, psychology professor, prediction methodology pioneer and author of the seminal work ...

Forbes contributors publish independent expert analyses and insights. Charles writes about organisational changes required to scale & AI. Writing predictions for the future is a fool’s game. So, I am a fool. Eight years ago I wrote a book about AI (and ...